Update: numbers from Indiana and North Carolina

To Montana and South Dakota

The Huffington Post has been kind enough to provide us with fresh polling averages for the two states casting primary ballots this Tuesday. The averages themselves are courtesy of RealClearPolitics.

Indiana

Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread
RCP Average 04/25 – 05/03 47.3 41.5 Clinton +5.8
Zogby 05/02 – 05/03 559 LV 41 43 Obama +2.0
Insider Advantage 04/30 – 05/01 478 LV 47 40 Clinton +7.0
Downs Center 04/28 – 04/30 689 LV 52 45 Clinton +7.0
Rasmussen 04/29 – 04/29 400 LV 46 41 Clinton +5.0
TeleResearch 04/25 – 04/29 943 LV 48 38 Clinton +10.0
PPP (D) 04/27 – 04/28 1347 LV 50 42 Clinton +8.0

North Carolina

Poll Date Sample Obama Clinton Spread
RCP Average 04/26 – 05/03 49.2 42.2 Obama +7.0
Zogby 05/02 – 05/03 600 LV 48 39 Obama +9.0
Rasmussen 05/01 – 05/01 831 LV 49 40 Obama +9.0
InsiderAdvantage 05/01 – 05/01 611 LV 49 44 Obama +5.0
Research 2000 04/29 – 04/30 500 LV 51 44 Obama +7.0
Mason-Dixon 04/28 – 04/29 400 LV 49 42 Obama +7.0
SurveyUSA 04/26 – 04/28 727 LV 49 44 Obama +5.0

Neither of the numbers from either state have surprised many. Obama’s strong support from the research triangle, youth voters and blacks have been predicted to deliver him victory in the Tarheel State; Indiana, while initially described as a blank slate of a contest, appears to be following its rural-conservative instincts and trending the way of Ohio, towards Clinton.

What do the numbers mean? Obama’s likely win in North Carolina will net him more delegates than Clinton’s likely win in Indiana (the states have 134 and 84 delegates, respectively), but due to Indiana’s battleground status Clinton will likely claim the day and the race will run through June 3rd, when Montana and South Dakota hold the final contests of the season.

Latest Indiana And North Carolina Poll Numbers – [The Huffington Post]

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3 Responses

  1. Frick.

  2. hmm…I wonder when these polls were taken because I think Obama could gain a couple points once the ‘obliterate’ comment and gas tax holiday debates sink in…if people figure it out that is.

  3. I’d like to think so, but as a supporter I’m preparing myself for the worst. I’ve hoped this race would end after an Obama primary win too many times and have just accepted that he might have to wait to claim victory until after Montana and South Dakota.

    I’d love especially if the gas tax pandering came back to haunt her so quickly…I trust the public to be smart enough in their judgment of it.

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